Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.011835 0.014422 0.017704 0.022282 0.028693 0.037667 0.051818
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.008584 0.011369 0.015376 0.021898 0.033021 0.053062 0.097878
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.006666 0.009234 0.013194 0.020259 0.033941 0.063504 0.152537
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.005547 0.007938 0.011821 0.019256 0.035231 0.075834 0.242696
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004888 0.007199 0.011132 0.019176 0.038328 0.096256 0.451052
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004470 0.006764 0.010848 0.019765 0.043394 0.130647 1.090664
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004078 0.006303 0.010404 0.019850 0.047280 0.169490 3.075317
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003663 0.005739 0.009654 0.018997 0.047894 0.196124 8.469568
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003363 0.005342 0.009165 0.018633 0.050008 0.239978 64.486448
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003220 0.005216 0.009203 0.019631 0.057997 0.365868 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003139 0.005195 0.009458 0.021320 0.070859 0.666087 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003064 0.005176 0.009712 0.023132 0.087189 1.401966 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002855 0.004887 0.009357 0.023143 0.095612 2.536976 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002645 0.004577 0.008907 0.022734 0.101752 4.709135 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002400 0.004166 0.008150 0.021009 0.096505 5.536593 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002214 0.003863 0.007619 0.019954 0.095609 8.172412 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002092 0.003684 0.007372 0.019870 0.103075 24.112489 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002011 0.003584 0.007312 0.020489 0.118990 687.720092 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001917 0.003447 0.007133 0.020579 0.130677 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001797 0.003243 0.006746 0.019682 0.129479 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001706 0.003095 0.006495 0.019300 0.134754 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001668 0.003064 0.006559 0.020348 0.164563 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001650 0.003077 0.006753 0.022125 0.219268 NaN NaN